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Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2020/2021
Mon, May 17, 2021
3 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qarabag Agdam 2 host Lokbatan in the First Division 2020/2021. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Lokbatan have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Qarabag Agdam 2 have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Qarabag Agdam 2 have won 2 to Lokbatan's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2023, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.42 vs 1.11, favoring Qarabag Agdam 2. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Qarabag Agdam 2
6%
Draws
4%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Qarabag Agdam 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Qarabag Agdam 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Qarabag Agdam 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam 2 Lokbatan
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Qarabag Agdam 2
1:0
Sep 13, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan
2:0
May 17, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan
0:0
Dec 23, 2021 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Qarabag Agdam 2
2:1
May 17, 2021 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 2 85 / 100
Lokbatan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam 2 Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam 2 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Lokbatan has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Lokbatan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lokbatan
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
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Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
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