Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2020/2021
Mon, May 17, 2021
3 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qarabag Agdam 2 host Lokbatan in the First Division 2020/2021. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Lokbatan have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Qarabag Agdam 2 have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.09. Head-to-head, Qarabag Agdam 2 have won 2 to Lokbatan's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2023, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.42 vs 1.11, favoring Qarabag Agdam 2. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Qarabag Agdam 2
20%
Draws
16%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qarabag Agdam 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lokbatan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Qarabag Agdam 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam 2 Lokbatan
Matches Played 32 50
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 13
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.09 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Qarabag Agdam 2
1:0
Sep 13, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan
2:0
May 17, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan
0:0
Dec 23, 2021 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Qarabag Agdam 2
2:1
May 17, 2021 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Lokbatan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 2 85 / 100
Lokbatan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam 2 Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qarabag Agdam 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam 2 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Lokbatan has conceded goals in 68% of their last 50 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Lokbatan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lokbatan
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
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Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
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