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Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Mingachevir

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Faracov S.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Qarabag Agdam 2 and Mingachevir finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Qarabag Agdam 2
44%
Draws
20%
Mingachevir
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mingachevir come out ahead of Qarabag Agdam 2 on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam 2 Mingachevir
Matches Played 32 42
Wins 10 19
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2023 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Mingachevir
1:0
Sep 7, 2022 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Qarabag Agdam 2
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qarabag Agdam 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Faracov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mingachevir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 2 36 / 100
Mingachevir 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam 2 Mingachevir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam 2 scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Mingachevir has conceded goals in 71% of their last 42 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Qarabag Agdam 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mingachevir
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
Page 1 of 7

Mingachevir

(Away)
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
Mingachevir
7 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)