Sport Picks

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Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Shamakhi 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Tahirov M.
49' Event
Akhundzade N.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Akhundzade N.

AI Match Summary

Qarabag Agdam 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Qarabag Agdam 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Qarabag Agdam 2
11%
Draws
9%
Shamakhi 2
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Qarabag Agdam 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Shamakhi 2 have won more games recently than Qarabag Agdam 2.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Qarabag Agdam 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Shamakhi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam 2 Shamakhi 2
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2023 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Shamakhi 2
5:0
Nov 2, 2022 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Qarabag Agdam 2
4:2
Mar 16, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Shamakhi 2
0:1
Oct 19, 2021 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Qarabag Agdam 2
1:2
May 6, 2021 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Shamakhi 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qarabag Agdam 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahirov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akhundzade N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Shamakhi 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 2 76 / 100
Shamakhi 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam 2 Shamakhi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shamakhi 2 conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Qarabag Agdam 2's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Qarabag Agdam 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qarabag Agdam 2 VS Shamakhi 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
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Shamakhi 2

(Away)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
25 Apr
Shamakhi 2
2 : 1
Imisli FK
18 Apr
Qarabag Agdam 2
5 : 0
Shamakhi 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)