Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Zaqatala PFK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Teymurov B.
73' Event
Abdullayev A.
Own Goal
77' Event
Teymurov B.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Qarabag Agdam 2 and Zaqatala PFK finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaqatala PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Qarabag Agdam 2
6%
Draws
4%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Qarabag Agdam 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zaqatala PFK come out ahead of Qarabag Agdam 2 on wins alone.
  • Qarabag Agdam 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam 2 Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 32 44
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2023 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Zaqatala PFK
1:2
Oct 12, 2022 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Qarabag Agdam 2
1:1
Apr 26, 2022 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Qarabag Agdam 2
1:2
Nov 30, 2021 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Zaqatala PFK
1:1
Apr 18, 2021 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Zaqatala PFK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qarabag Agdam 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Teymurov B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 2 85 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam 2 Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam 2 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Zaqatala PFK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 44 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Zaqatala PFK lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zaqatala PFK
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
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Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
06 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 3
Sabail
29 Apr
Mingachevir
7 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)