Sport Picks

Europe

UEFA Youth League Azersun Arena

Chelsea U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Qarabag Agdam U19 play Chelsea U19 in the UEFA Youth League. Chelsea U19 are favorites here. Recently, Qarabag Agdam U19 averaged 0.33 goals scored and 4.08 conceded. Chelsea U19 averaged 2.26 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Qarabag Agdam U19 won 0, Chelsea U19 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 5, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.40 for Qarabag Agdam U19 and 3.38 for Chelsea U19. This points to a Chelsea U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Qarabag Agdam U19

15%

Draws

72%

Chelsea U19

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Qarabag Agdam U19 picked up more points recently compared to Chelsea U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.40 vs 3.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Qarabag Agdam U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 84%

Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Qarabag Agdam U19	Chelsea U19
Matches Played	12	31
Wins	1	14
Draws	0	7
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	0.33	2.26
Goals Conceded	4.08	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	0.17	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.00	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 UEFA Youth League

Qarabag Agdam U19 vs Chelsea U19

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 4 - 0

0:5

Nov 22, 2017 UEFA Youth League

Qarabag Agdam U19 vs Chelsea U19

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Sep 12, 2017 UEFA Youth League

Chelsea U19 vs Qarabag Agdam U19

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qarabag Agdam U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.13

Avg xA / game 0.09

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Derry J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gordon S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam U19 14 / 100

Chelsea U19 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Qarabag Agdam U19 Chelsea U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U19 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Chelsea U19 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Qarabag Agdam U19 attacking → ← attacking Chelsea U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam U19 scored in 33% of their last 12 games.

Chelsea U19 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Qarabag Agdam U19 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Chelsea U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 49

0.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chelsea U19	6	5	1	0	23:9	16
2	Benfica U19	6	5	0	1	26:7	15
3	Club Brugge U19	6	5	0	1	11:3	15
4	Real Madrid U19	6	5	0	1	14:7	15
5	Villarreal U19	6	5	0	1	12:7	15
6	Ath Bilbao U19	6	4	2	0	17:7	14
7	Atl. Madrid U19	6	4	1	1	16:8	13
8	Barcelona U19	6	4	1	1	13:9	13
9	Tottenham U19	6	4	0	2	28:14	12
10	Manchester City U19	6	4	0	2	18:8	12
11	Dortmund U19	6	4	0	2	13:8	12
12	Sporting CP U19	6	3	3	0	13:10	12
13	PSG U19	6	3	2	1	17:8	11
14	Inter U19	6	3	2	1	14:8	11
15	Ajax U19	6	3	1	2	24:16	10
16	Liverpool U19	6	3	1	2	8:13	10
17	Leverkusen U19	6	3	1	2	9:16	10
18	Monaco U19	6	3	0	3	20:10	9
19	PSV U19	6	2	2	2	13:9	8
20	Slavia Prague U19	6	2	2	2	16:17	8
21	Eintracht Frankfurt U19	6	2	1	3	15:13	7
22	Marseille U19	6	2	1	3	12:11	7
23	FC Copenhagen U19	6	2	1	3	10:10	7
24	Olympiacos Piraeus U19	6	2	1	3	8:10	7
25	Napoli U19	6	1	3	2	3:6	6
26	Juventus U19	6	1	2	3	12:11	5
27	Bayern U19	6	1	1	4	10:16	4
28	Kairat Almaty U19	6	1	1	4	8:15	4
29	Atalanta U19	6	1	1	4	6:13	4
30	Pafos U19	6	1	1	4	5:15	4
31	Royale Union SG U19	6	1	1	4	7:18	4
32	Galatasaray U19	6	1	1	4	6:21	4
33	Arsenal U19	6	1	0	5	11:18	3
34	Newcastle Utd U19	6	0	0	6	6:17	0
35	Bodo/Glimt U19	6	0	0	6	4:31	0
36	Qarabag Agdam U19	6	0	0	6	1:30	0