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Qarabag Agdam vs Karat Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2004/2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2004/2005 game between Qarabag Agdam and Karat Baku finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Qarabag Agdam
11%
Draws
9%
Karat Baku
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Qarabag Agdam come out ahead of Karat Baku on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Qarabag Agdam's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League 2004/2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 20%
Karat Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam Karat Baku
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2005 Premier League
Qarabag Agdam vs Karat Baku
3:1
Nov 20, 2004 Premier League
Karat Baku vs Qarabag Agdam
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 76 / 100
Karat Baku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam Karat Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Karat Baku conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Qarabag Agdam remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Qarabag Agdam VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Khazar Lenkoran34246468:1578
2Neftci Baku34246452:1878
3Karvan34237466:1876
4FK Baku342110360:1473
5Turan34227564:2173
6Qarabag Agdam34225761:3171
7Shamakhi34199644:2466
8Imisli FK34169935:2357
9Kapaz341191437:3742
10Karat Baku341241840:6240
11Goyazan Qazax34961930:5233
12Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit34961932:5833
13Shamkir34952034:4832
14Sahdag Qusar34881829:5132
15MOIK Baku34791824:3430
16Adliyya Baku34742324:6625
17Bakili Baku34352622:7114
18Safa Baku34213116:957