Sport Picks

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Qarabag Agdam vs Vestri

Europe Europe

Europa League Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qarabag Agdam play Vestri in the Europa League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Qarabag Agdam averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Vestri averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Qarabag Agdam won 1, Vestri won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Qarabag Agdam and 1.63 for Vestri. This points to a Qarabag Agdam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Qarabag Agdam
40%
Draws
29%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Qarabag Agdam has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vestri.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Europa League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 14%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam Vestri
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Europa League
Qarabag Agdam vs Vestri
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Europa League
Vestri vs Qarabag Agdam
1-2
Mar 12, 2025 Europa League
Qarabag Agdam vs Vestri
0-2
Feb 12, 2025 Europa League
Vestri vs Qarabag Agdam
1-1
Jan 12, 2025 Europa League
Qarabag Agdam vs Vestri
2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 31 / 100
Vestri 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam Vestri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Vestri let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Qarabag Agdam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vestri lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qarabag Agdam VS Vestri
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
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