Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qarabag Agdam vs Vestri

Europe Europe

Europa League Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Fall S.
26'
Sub
Balde I. In: Stensson J.
Out: Balde I.
30' Event
Sawo Z.
Assist: Kashchuk O.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League game between Qarabag Agdam and Vestri finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Qarabag Agdam
17%
Draws
13%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Qarabag Agdam come out ahead of Vestri on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Qarabag Agdam's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 68%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam Vestri
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Europa League
Vestri vs Qarabag Agdam
0:3
Jul 9, 2026 Europa League
Qarabag Agdam vs Vestri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qarabag Agdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Sawo Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zoubir A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vestri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam 77 / 100
Vestri 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam Vestri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qarabag Agdam's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vestri has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Qarabag Agdam has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Qarabag Agdam VS Vestri
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
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CSKA Sofia5
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