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Qatar SC vs Al-Sadd

Qatar Qatar

QSL Qatar SC Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

6'
Addai A.
15' Event
Paulo Otavio
Assist: Afif A.
22' Event
Paulo Otavio
Assist: Pedro Miguel

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Qatar SC and Al-Sadd finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Sadd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Qatar SC
30%
Draws
56%
Al-Sadd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Sadd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al-Sadd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar SC Al-Sadd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 20
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.55 2.6
Goals Conceded 2 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al-Sadd
2:6
Jan 8, 2026 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al-Sadd
2:3
Aug 16, 2025 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Qatar SC
2:3
Jan 23, 2025 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Qatar SC
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al-Sadd
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Prim P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo Otavio
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurisag Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar SC 10 / 100
Al-Sadd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar SC Al-Sadd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Sadd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Sadd conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Qatar SC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Qatar SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qatar SC VS Al-Sadd
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.25
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar SC

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
Page 1 of 6

Al-Sadd

(Away)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al-Sadd
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al-Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al-Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)