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Qatar U23 vs Australia U23

World World

Friendly International 2025 Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
46'
46'

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Qatar U23 and Australia U23 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Qatar U23
30%
Draws
54%
Australia U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Australia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Australia U23 come out ahead of Qatar U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Australia U23 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar U23 Australia U23
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.33 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Qatar U23 vs Australia U23
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
Qatar U23 vs Australia U23
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs Qatar U23
2:1
Jun 6, 2023 Maurice Revello Tournament
Qatar U23 vs Australia U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar U23 10 / 100
Australia U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar U23 Australia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar U23 scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Australia U23 conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Qatar U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Qatar U23 VS Australia U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar U23

(Home)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
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Australia U23

(Away)
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1
Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0
China U23
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