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Qatar U23 vs Australia U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Yousif A.
22'
Sub
Hollman J. In: Jelacic K.
Out: Hollman J.
45'
Farrell J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Qatar U23
30%
Draws
54%
Australia U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Australia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Australia U23 come out ahead of Qatar U23 on wins alone.
  • Australia U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Australia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Qatar U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar U23 Australia U23
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.31 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Qatar U23 vs Australia U23
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
Qatar U23 vs Australia U23
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 Friendly International
Australia U23 vs Qatar U23
2:1
Jun 6, 2023 Maurice Revello Tournament
Qatar U23 vs Australia U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar U23 10 / 100
Australia U23 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar U23 Australia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar U23's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Australia U23 has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Qatar U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Qatar U23 VS Australia U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar U23

(Home)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 7

Australia U23

(Away)
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1
Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Indonesia U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Australia U23 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
4 Jordan U23 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 China U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Thailand U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Malaysia U23 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Play Offs)