Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qatar U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23

Asia Asia

Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Qatar U23 Logo

Qatar U23

1 - 1
FT
Saudi Arabia U23 Logo

Saudi Arabia U23

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
El Sayed M.
85' Event
Al Khaibri T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Qatar U23
20%
Draws
48%
Saudi Arabia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saudi Arabia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia U23 have won more games recently than Qatar U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Saudi Arabia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saudi Arabia U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar U23 Saudi Arabia U23
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Asian Games
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23
2:0
Dec 11, 2025 Arabian Gulf Cup U23
Qatar U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Qatar U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
0:1
Jan 14, 2024 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23
0:0
Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
Qatar U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer El Sayed M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Khaibri T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar U23 36 / 100
Saudi Arabia U23 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar U23 Saudi Arabia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Qatar U23 scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Saudi Arabia U23 conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Saudi Arabia U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Qatar U23 VS Saudi Arabia U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar U23

(Home)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
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Saudi Arabia U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Bahrain U23 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Yemen U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Oman U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup U23 (Play Offs)