Sport Picks
Qatar U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
Asia
AFC Asian Cup U23 Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium, Jeddah 
Match Events
3'
3'
Al Hussain A.
Penalty Missed
18'
18'
Al Mejaba M.
21'
21'
Al Memari A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: United Arab Emirates U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Qatar U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives United Arab Emirates U23 a 49% chance of winning this.
- Qatar U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor United Arab Emirates U23, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors United Arab Emirates U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 15%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qatar U23 | United Arab Emirates U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 7, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Qatar U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:2
Mar 22, 2023 Friendly International
Qatar U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
0:1
Dec 5, 2006 Asian Games
Qatar U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Qatar U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
United Arab Emirates U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Memari A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ndiaye J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Qatar U23 15 / 100
United Arab Emirates U23 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Qatar U23 United Arab Emirates U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick United Arab Emirates U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Qatar U23 scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.
United Arab Emirates U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Qatar U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Qatar U23 VS United Arab Emirates U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Qatar U23
(Home) 18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0 Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4 South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1 Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0 Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1 Qatar U23
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4 South Korea U23
13 May
Qatar U23
1 : 3 Oman U23
11 May
Qatar U23
2 : 1 Oman U23
07 Jan
Qatar U23
0 : 2 United Arab Emirates U23
30 Dec
Qatar U23
2 : 1 Uzbekistan U21
Page 1 of 3
United Arab Emirates U23
(Away) 23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5 United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
03 Jun
South Korea U23
1 : 1 United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Jordan U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Syria U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzbekistan U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | South Korea U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Lebanon U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Iran U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Australia U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 2 | China U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 3 | Iraq U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Thailand U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
