Sport Picks

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Qingdao Fuli vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

China China

FA Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qingdao Fuli play Shanxi Chongde Ronghai in the FA Cup. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai are favorites here. Recently, Qingdao Fuli averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Qingdao Fuli won 0, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Qingdao Fuli and 1.69 for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai. This points to a Shanxi Chongde Ronghai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Qingdao Fuli
25%
Draws
60%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Qingdao Fuli picked up more points recently compared to Shanxi Chongde Ronghai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Qingdao Fuli Clean Sheet 13%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Fuli Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 13
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 FA Cup
Qingdao Fuli vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao Fuli Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurban Eysajan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xie Jinzheng
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Fuli 16 / 100
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Fuli Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Shanxi Chongde Ronghai & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Qingdao Fuli attacking → ← attacking Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao Fuli scored in 0% of their last 1 games.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Qingdao Fuli went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 46
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00