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Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

China China

League One 2025 Qingdao Tiantai Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sun Xipeng
Assist: Leandro Alves
45' Event
Cheukoua M.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Hu Jiajin In: Fan Chao
Out: Hu Jiajin

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Qingdao Red Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Qingdao Red Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guangxi Pingguo Haliao have won more games recently than Qingdao Red Lions.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Qingdao Red Lions taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guangxi Pingguo Haliao here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Qingdao Red Lions Clean Sheet 68%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Red Lions Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 League One
Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
1:1
May 31, 2025 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Qingdao Red Lions
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Qingdao Red Lions
3:2
Apr 14, 2024 League One
Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Sun Xipeng
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Red Lions 95 / 100
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Red Lions Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Guangxi Pingguo Haliao conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Qingdao Red Lions stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao Red Lions VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013