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Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangzhou FC

China China

Jia League 2024 Qingdao Tiantai Stadium, Qingdao
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Zhang Zhixiong
33' Event
Nie Aoshuang
Assist: Chen Hao-Wei
40'
Xu Bin

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Jia League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Qingdao Red Lions
33%
Draws
27%
Guangzhou FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Qingdao Red Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Qingdao Red Lions haven't matched Guangzhou FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Qingdao Red Lions a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Qingdao Red Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Guangzhou FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Red Lions Guangzhou FC
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 League One
Qingdao Red Lions vs Guangzhou FC
1:1
May 12, 2024 League One
Guangzhou FC vs Qingdao Red Lions
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qingdao Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Nie Aoshuang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guangzhou FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Alegria J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Red Lions 40 / 100
Guangzhou FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Red Lions Guangzhou FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangzhou FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Qingdao Red Lions stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Qingdao Red Lions scored in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Qingdao Red Lions VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Qingdao Red Lions

(Home)
27 Jul
Qingdao Red Lions
6 : 1
Beijing Technology
19 Jul
Taian Tiankuang
1 : 0
Qingdao Red Lions
12 Jul
Qingdao Red Lions
0 : 1
Shandong Taishan B
05 Jul
Dalian Yingbo B
0 : 0
Qingdao Red Lions
27 Jun
Shanghai Second
0 : 2
Qingdao Red Lions
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Guangzhou FC

(Away)
03 Nov
Nanjing City
2 : 1
Guangzhou FC
26 Oct
Guangzhou FC
3 : 1
Yanbian Longding
19 Oct
Liaoning Tieren
0 : 2
Guangzhou FC
12 Oct
Guangzhou FC
0 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
05 Oct
Guangzhou FC
1 : 1
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yunnan Yukun30206470:2066
2Dalian Yingbo30176744:2957
3Guangzhou FC301410651:3552
4Liaoning Tieren30148841:3350
5Chongqing Tonglianglong301311642:2550
6Shijiazhuang Gongfu30139833:2848
7Suzhou Dongwu301212646:3448
8Guangxi Pingguo Haliao301114542:3747
9Nanjing City308101234:4134
10Foshan Nanshi306141030:4132
11Shanghai Jiading Huilong30516921:2731
12Yanbian Longding307101331:5031
13Dingnan Ganlian30691525:4227
14Qingdao Red Lions305111436:4926
15Wuxi Wugou30571825:4922
16Jiangxi Lushan30471925:5619
Promotion - Super League 2025 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2025 (Main)