Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns

China China

FA Cup Qingdao Tiantai Stadium
Sat, Jun 20, 2026
0 - 1
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qingdao Red Lions play Wuhan Three Towns in the FA Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Qingdao Red Lions averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Wuhan Three Towns averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Qingdao Red Lions won 0, Wuhan Three Towns won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Qingdao Red Lions and 1.31 for Wuhan Three Towns. This points to a Wuhan Three Towns double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Qingdao Red Lions
30%
Draws
36%
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wuhan Three Towns

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Qingdao Red Lions picked up more points recently compared to Wuhan Three Towns.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Qingdao Red Lions Clean Sheet 18%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qingdao Red Lions Wuhan Three Towns
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 FA Cup
Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qingdao Red Lions 34 / 100
Wuhan Three Towns 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qingdao Red Lions Wuhan Three Towns

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wuhan Three Towns or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Qingdao Red Lions attacking → ← attacking Wuhan Three Towns

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao Red Lions scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Wuhan Three Towns let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Qingdao Red Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Wuhan Three Towns lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 21
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75