Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qizilqum host Din. Samarkand in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Qizilqum at 0.75 goals for, 1.38 against; Din. Samarkand at 1.5 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Qizilqum have won 2 to Din. Samarkand's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 24, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.44) back Din. Samarkand to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Qizilqum
39%
Draws
31%
Din. Samarkand
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Din. Samarkand come out ahead of Qizilqum on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 16%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qizilqum Din. Samarkand
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
2:0
May 25, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Qizilqum
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
1:2
May 30, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Qizilqum
2:0
Aug 18, 2022 Super League
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qizilqum 30 / 100
Din. Samarkand 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qizilqum Din. Samarkand

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QIZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Din. Samarkand's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Qizilqum remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Din. Samarkand lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qizilqum VS Din. Samarkand
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210