Sport Picks
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
Uzbekistan
Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy 
Match Events
22'
22'
Abdurakhmonov F.
Assist: Abdusalomov J.
29'
29'
Khozhimirzaev A.
46'
46'
Sub
Vakhobov I. In: Shukurillaev S.
Out: Vakhobov I.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Qizilqum and Din. Samarkand finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Din. Samarkand.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qizilqum
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Qizilqum have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Din. Samarkand are scoring more at 1.35.
- Qizilqum are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Din. Samarkand here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 68%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qizilqum | Din. Samarkand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Qizilqum
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
1:2
Oct 24, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
2:0
May 25, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Qizilqum
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Qizilqum Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Din. Samarkand Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdurakhmonov F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Khozhimirzaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Qizilqum 59 / 100
Din. Samarkand 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Qizilqum Din. Samarkand
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Qizilqum's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Din. Samarkand conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Qizilqum stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Qizilqum VS Din. Samarkand
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Qizilqum
(Home) 21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1 Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
14 Aug
Qizilqum
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
02 Aug
Qizilqum
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
18 Jul
Qizilqum
1 : 2 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 3
Din. Samarkand
(Away) 17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
23 Jul
Termez Surkhon
1 : 2 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
