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Qizilqum vs Mashal Muborak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy
Qizilqum Logo

Qizilqum

2 - 0
FT
Mashal Muborak Logo

Mashal Muborak

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Jurakuziev O.
Assist: Roziev R.
34' Event
Rakhmatullaev S.
45'
Rizakulov G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Qizilqum and Mashal Muborak finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qizilqum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Qizilqum
15%
Draws
0%
Mashal Muborak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qizilqum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Qizilqum come out ahead of Mashal Muborak on wins alone.
  • Model gives Qizilqum a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Qizilqum here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 68%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qizilqum Mashal Muborak
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.19 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Mashal Muborak
2:0
Mar 10, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Qizilqum
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Mashal Muborak
1:0
May 11, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Qizilqum
2:2
Jul 3, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Mashal Muborak vs Qizilqum
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qizilqum Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurakuziev O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rakhmatullaev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mashal Muborak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qizilqum 95 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qizilqum Mashal Muborak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashal Muborak let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Mashal Muborak lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Qizilqum found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Qizilqum VS Mashal Muborak
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qizilqum

(Home)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1
Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6

Mashal Muborak

(Away)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Andijan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)