Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Queensland U23

Olympic FC U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

QLD State Team U17 play Olympic FC U23 in the NPL Queensland U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, QLD State Team U17 averaged 2.19 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. Olympic FC U23 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, QLD State Team U17 won 0, Olympic FC U23 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 18, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for QLD State Team U17 and 2.13 for Olympic FC U23. This points to a Olympic FC U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

QLD State Team U17

15%

Draws

44%

Olympic FC U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympic FC U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

QLD State Team U17 picked up more points recently compared to Olympic FC U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 97%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 51%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%

QLD State Team U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Olympic FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 87%

Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	QLD State Team U17	Olympic FC U23
Matches Played	16	17
Wins	6	7
Draws	1	2
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	2.19	1.76
Goals Conceded	2.69	1.94
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 NPL Queensland U23

QLD State Team U17 vs Olympic FC U23

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QLD State Team U17 39 / 100

Olympic FC U23 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

QLD State Team U17 Olympic FC U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olympic FC U23 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

QLD State Team U17 attacking → ← attacking Olympic FC U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QLD State Team U17 scored in 88% of their last 16 games.

Olympic FC U23 let in goals in 94% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

QLD State Team U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Olympic FC U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 23

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Queensland Lions U23	17	11	4	2	44:18	37
2	Rochedale U23	17	11	2	4	46:23	35
3	Gold Coast Knights SC U23	16	10	1	5	42:27	31
4	Moreton City Excelsior U23	16	9	2	5	42:23	29
5	Eastern Suburbs U23	17	9	2	6	37:22	29
6	Olympic FC U23	17	7	2	8	30:33	23
7	Gold Coast U23	16	7	2	7	34:39	23
8	Peninsula U23	17	6	2	9	34:42	20
9	QLD State Team U17	16	6	1	9	35:43	19
10	Brisbane City U23	17	5	3	9	34:47	18
11	Wynnum Wolves U23	17	5	2	10	25:41	17
12	Magic United TFA FC U23	17	2	1	14	12:57	7