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QLD State Team U17 vs Peninsula U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

Peninsula U23 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peninsula U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
QLD State Team U17
15%
Draws
0%
Peninsula U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: QLD State Team U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • QLD State Team U17 have won more games recently than Peninsula U23.
  • Win probability leans QLD State Team U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
QLD State Team U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Peninsula U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QLD State Team U17 Peninsula U23
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 8 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.09 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.59 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
QLD State Team U17 vs Peninsula U23
3:4
Jun 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Peninsula U23 vs QLD State Team U17
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QLD State Team U17 83 / 100
Peninsula U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QLD State Team U17 Peninsula U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QLD State Team U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QLD State Team U17's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Peninsula U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Peninsula U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

QLD State Team U17 VS Peninsula U23
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

QLD State Team U17

(Home)
16 Aug
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1
QLD State Team U17
02 Aug
QLD State Team U17
4 : 3
Moreton City Excelsior U23
19 Jul
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2
QLD State Team U17
14 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
1 : 0
QLD State Team U17
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Peninsula U23

(Away)
16 Aug
Peninsula U23
0 : 3
Brisbane City U23
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
5 : 2
Peninsula U23
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
11 Jul
Peninsula U23
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 22 16 2 4 61:27 50
2 Moreton City Excelsior U23 22 14 2 6 60:31 44
3 Queensland Lions U23 22 13 5 4 52:24 44
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 22 14 1 7 58:39 43
5 Gold Coast U23 22 13 2 7 52:45 41
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 22 9 4 9 43:32 31
7 QLD State Team U17 22 8 1 13 46:57 25
8 Brisbane City U23 22 7 3 12 42:54 24
9 Olympic FC U23 22 7 2 13 35:55 23
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 22 6 3 13 29:52 21
11 Peninsula U23 22 6 2 14 36:57 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 22 5 1 16 27:68 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)