Sport Picks

Stadium Background

QPR vs Millwall

England England

EFL Cup Loftus Road, London
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
1 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Cundle L.
62'
Sub
Burrell R. In: Poku K.
Out: Burrell R.
62'
Sub
Madsen N. In: Varane J.
Out: Madsen N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
QPR
15%
Draws
31%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: QPR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Millwall come out ahead of QPR on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on QPR taking it.
  • Millwall arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Millwall, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Millwall have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
QPR Clean Sheet 68%
Millwall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QPR Millwall
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
QPR vs Millwall
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs QPR
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Championship
QPR vs Millwall
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs QPR
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Championship
QPR vs Millwall
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

QPR Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Millwall Compare

Top Goalscorer Cundle L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QPR 95 / 100
Millwall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QPR Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QPR's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Millwall has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

QPR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

QPR VS Millwall
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2
Millwall
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3
QPR
31 Jul
Bromley
0 : 7
QPR
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2
Fiorentina
21 Jul
QPR
1 : 0
Wycombe
Page 1 of 6

Millwall

(Away)
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2
Millwall
01 Aug
Millwall
1 : 0
Antwerp
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1
Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
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1/32-finals
Walsall -
Leyton Orient -
Ipswich -
Leicester -
Cardiff -
Norwich -
Stevenage -
Reading -
Cambridge Utd -
Millwall -
Birmingham -
Brentford -
Southampton -
West Ham -
Watford -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
AFC Wimbledon -
Plymouth -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
Luton -
Tottenham -
Charlton -
Newcastle Utd -
West Brom -
Blackburn -
Sheffield Utd -
Nottingham -
Leeds -
Doncaster -
Middlesbrough -
Barnsley -
Crewe -
Preston -
Everton -
Stoke City -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed -
Wolves -
Blackpool -
Lincoln City -
Fleetwood Town -
Shrewsbury -
Bradford City -
Burnley -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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