Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qrendi vs Fgura

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Qrendi Logo

Qrendi

4 - 3
FT
Fgura Logo

Fgura

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2022/2023 game between Qrendi and Fgura finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qrendi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Qrendi
30%
Draws
37%
Fgura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fgura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fgura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Qrendi taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 12%
Fgura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qrendi Fgura
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.33 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Fgura
1:2
Dec 21, 2022 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Fgura
4:3
Feb 25, 2022 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Fgura
1:2
Nov 19, 2021 Challenge League
Fgura vs Qrendi
5:1
Feb 28, 2021 Challenge League
Fgura vs Qrendi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qrendi 40 / 100
Fgura 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qrendi Fgura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Fgura let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Qrendi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Qrendi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fgura
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qrendi

(Home)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
Page 1 of 6

Fgura

(Away)
19 Sept
Fgura
1 : 1
Sirens
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
Melita
0 : 1
Fgura
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sliema 17 15 2 0 40:10 47
2 Naxxar Lions 17 13 2 2 40:15 41
3 Zejtun 17 11 0 6 35:22 33
4 Tarxien 17 9 5 3 34:19 32
5 Zurrieq 17 9 2 6 33:28 29
6 Melita 17 7 5 5 29:22 26
7 Fgura 17 7 4 6 41:25 25
8 Marsa 17 6 6 5 27:23 24
9 Swieqi 17 6 6 5 33:31 24
10 St. Andrews 17 6 4 7 23:27 22
11 Lija 17 5 5 7 28:32 20
12 Attard 17 5 4 8 19:30 19
13 San Gwann 17 5 3 9 20:34 18
14 Marsaskala FC 17 4 3 10 28:39 15
15 Mqabba FC 17 4 3 10 21:36 15
16 Qrendi 17 3 5 9 19:36 14
17 Mtarfa 17 4 2 11 11:28 14
18 Vittoriosa 17 3 1 13 14:38 10
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)