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Qrendi vs St. Andrews

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
64' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

St. Andrews in this Challenge League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Andrews.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Qrendi
30%
Draws
16%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qrendi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Andrews have won more games recently than Qrendi.
  • Win probability leans Qrendi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 20%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qrendi St. Andrews
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Challenge League
Qrendi vs St. Andrews
0:2
Aug 28, 2022 Challenge League
Qrendi vs St. Andrews
0:0
Apr 7, 2022 Challenge League
Qrendi vs St. Andrews
3:2
Dec 18, 2021 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Qrendi
2:0
Jan 24, 2021 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Qrendi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qrendi 85 / 100
St. Andrews 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qrendi St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qrendi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Andrews let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Qrendi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

St. Andrews lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS St. Andrews
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Qrendi

(Home)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
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St. Andrews

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
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