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Qrendi vs Zurrieq

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Qrendi Logo

Qrendi

2 - 5
FT
Zurrieq Logo

Zurrieq

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zurrieq in this Challenge League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zurrieq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Qrendi
15%
Draws
39%
Zurrieq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qrendi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Zurrieq have won more games recently than Qrendi.
  • Model gives Qrendi a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 16%
Zurrieq Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qrendi Zurrieq
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2022 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Zurrieq
2:5
Oct 22, 2017 FA Trophy
Zurrieq vs Qrendi
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qrendi 39 / 100
Zurrieq 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qrendi Zurrieq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qrendi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Zurrieq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 36 matches.

Qrendi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zurrieq's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zurrieq
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qrendi

(Home)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
Page 1 of 6

Zurrieq

(Away)
19 Sept
Zurrieq
1 : 2
Victoria Hotspurs
12 Sept
Sirens
1 : 0
Zurrieq
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2
Mgarr
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1
Marsa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sliema 17 15 2 0 40:10 47
2 Naxxar Lions 17 13 2 2 40:15 41
3 Zejtun 17 11 0 6 35:22 33
4 Tarxien 17 9 5 3 34:19 32
5 Zurrieq 17 9 2 6 33:28 29
6 Melita 17 7 5 5 29:22 26
7 Fgura 17 7 4 6 41:25 25
8 Marsa 17 6 6 5 27:23 24
9 Swieqi 17 6 6 5 33:31 24
10 St. Andrews 17 6 4 7 23:27 22
11 Lija 17 5 5 7 28:32 20
12 Attard 17 5 4 8 19:30 19
13 San Gwann 17 5 3 9 20:34 18
14 Marsaskala FC 17 4 3 10 28:39 15
15 Mqabba FC 17 4 3 10 21:36 15
16 Qrendi 17 3 5 9 19:36 14
17 Mtarfa 17 4 2 11 11:28 14
18 Vittoriosa 17 3 1 13 14:38 10
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)