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Queanbeyan City vs Belconnen United

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Jerrabomberra Regional Sports Complex
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queanbeyan City play Belconnen United in the NPL ACT. It looks like a close match. Recently, Queanbeyan City averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Belconnen United averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Queanbeyan City won 4, Belconnen United won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Queanbeyan City and 1.63 for Belconnen United. This points to a Queanbeyan City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Queanbeyan City
16%
Draws
34%
Belconnen United
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Queanbeyan City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Queanbeyan City picked up more points recently compared to Belconnen United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Queanbeyan City Clean Sheet 14%
Belconnen United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queanbeyan City Belconnen United
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.59 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL ACT
Belconnen United vs Queanbeyan City
1:2
Apr 24, 2026 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Belconnen United
4:1
Aug 10, 2024 Capital Premier League
Belconnen United vs Queanbeyan City
0:0
Jun 15, 2024 Capital Premier League
Belconnen United vs Queanbeyan City
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Capital Premier League
Queanbeyan City vs Belconnen United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queanbeyan City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jambrek R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader John M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Belconnen United Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queanbeyan City 48 / 100
Belconnen United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queanbeyan City Belconnen United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Queanbeyan City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Queanbeyan City attacking → ← attacking Belconnen United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queanbeyan City scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Belconnen United let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Queanbeyan City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Belconnen United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 38
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canberra Croatia13101238:1631
2Monaro Panthers13100342:2130
3Tigers FC1491439:1828
4Tuggeranong United1390433:2927
5Queanbeyan City1280427:1724
6Canberra Juventus1280429:2124
7O'Connor Knights1450915:2815
8Canberra Olympic1341830:3713
9Belconnen United1322923:328
10Brindabella Blues1220107:336
11Canberra White Eagles13111110:414