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Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia

Australia Australia

NPL ACT 2025 High Street Oval
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AI Match Summary

Queanbeyan City play Canberra Croatia in the NPL ACT 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Queanbeyan City averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Canberra Croatia averaged 2.94 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Queanbeyan City won 1, Canberra Croatia won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Queanbeyan City and 2.25 for Canberra Croatia. This points to a Canberra Croatia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Queanbeyan City
15%
Draws
50%
Canberra Croatia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canberra Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Queanbeyan City picked up more points recently compared to Canberra Croatia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Queanbeyan City Clean Sheet 10%
Canberra Croatia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queanbeyan City Canberra Croatia
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 13 24
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.57 2.94
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan City
4:2
Mar 31, 2026 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia
1:3
Jun 21, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra Croatia
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 NPL ACT
Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan City
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queanbeyan City Compare

Top Goalscorer Dellani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Canberra Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Green M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader James T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queanbeyan City 34 / 100
Canberra Croatia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queanbeyan City Canberra Croatia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Canberra Croatia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Queanbeyan City attacking → ← attacking Canberra Croatia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queanbeyan City scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Canberra Croatia let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Queanbeyan City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Canberra Croatia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 74
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canberra Croatia21170482:2651
2Tigers FC21134450:3343
3Monaro Panthers21133564:2442
4Tuggeranong United2176831:5027
5Gungahlin21741036:6025
6Queanbeyan City2166920:3524
7Yoogali21431431:4915
8O'Connor Knights21321633:7011