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Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong United

Australia Australia

NPL ACT High Street Oval, Queanbeyan
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Jambrek R.
22' Event
Ceruti J.
65' Event
Jambrek R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Queanbeyan City and Tuggeranong United finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queanbeyan City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Queanbeyan City
15%
Draws
36%
Tuggeranong United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queanbeyan City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Queanbeyan City haven't matched Tuggeranong United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Queanbeyan City's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular NPL ACT form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Queanbeyan City Clean Sheet 10%
Tuggeranong United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queanbeyan City Tuggeranong United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.7 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
0:2
Aug 5, 2026 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong United
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 NPL ACT
Tuggeranong United vs Queanbeyan City
1:3
Jun 11, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queanbeyan City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jambrek R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader John M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Tuggeranong United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceruti J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goodwin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queanbeyan City 74 / 100
Tuggeranong United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queanbeyan City Tuggeranong United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queanbeyan City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queanbeyan City's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tuggeranong United has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Queanbeyan City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queanbeyan City VS Tuggeranong United
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Queanbeyan City

(Home)
05 Sept
Canberra Croatia
1 : 0
Queanbeyan City
29 Aug
Tuggeranong United
0 : 2
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Queanbeyan City
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
16 Aug
Canberra Juventus
1 : 2
Queanbeyan City
05 Aug
Queanbeyan City
4 : 2
Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6

Tuggeranong United

(Away)
29 Aug
Tuggeranong United
0 : 2
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Tuggeranong United
2 : 0
Canberra Juventus
12 Aug
Brindabella Blues
0 : 6
Tuggeranong United
05 Aug
Queanbeyan City
4 : 2
Tuggeranong United
01 Aug
Canberra Olympic
1 : 2
Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canberra Croatia 20 17 1 2 64:24 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 71:26 46
3 Tigers FC 20 14 2 4 59:24 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 49:39 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 42:28 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 39:39 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 45:55 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 24:39 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 25:50 9
10 Brindabella Blues 20 3 0 17 15:66 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 17:60 7
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)