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Quebracho Villa Montes vs Universitario de Tarija

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2015/2016 game between Quebracho Villa Montes and Universitario de Tarija finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quebracho Villa Montes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Quebracho Villa Montes
11%
Draws
9%
Universitario de Tarija
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Quebracho Villa Montes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quebracho Villa Montes come out ahead of Universitario de Tarija on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Quebracho Villa Montes's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Quebracho Villa Montes Clean Sheet 16%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quebracho Villa Montes Universitario de Tarija
Matches Played 34 22
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Quebracho Villa Montes
2:1
Feb 28, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Universitario de Tarija
3:2
Dec 6, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Quebracho Villa Montes vs Universitario de Tarija
4:0
Nov 2, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Quebracho Villa Montes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quebracho Villa Montes 75 / 100
Universitario de Tarija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quebracho Villa Montes Universitario de Tarija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Quebracho Villa Montes scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Universitario de Tarija let in goals in 64% of their last 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Quebracho Villa Montes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quebracho Villa Montes VS Universitario de Tarija
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Quebracho Villa Montes

(Home)
10 Oct
Quebracho Villa Montes
2 : 1
Nacional Senac
03 Oct
Garcia Agreda
2 : 2
Quebracho Villa Montes
30 Sept
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
25 Sept
Nacional Senac
2 : 1
Quebracho Villa Montes
22 Sept
Quebracho Villa Montes
4 : 2
Garcia Agreda
Page 1 of 7

Universitario de Tarija

(Away)
22 Sept
Real Potosi
4 : 4
Universitario de Tarija
15 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
0 : 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
01 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
24 Aug
Fatic
6 : 3
Universitario de Tarija
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Royal Pari860218:918
2Guabira851219:716
3Universitario Beni851220:1516
4Mariscal Sucre822413:148
5San Borja80088:330
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aurora641115:913
2Em Huanuni63037:109
3Arauco Prado61329:96
4Maestranza61235:85
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Tarija85127:816
2Garcia Agreda841314:1113
3Quebracho Villa Montes841315:1413
4Fancesa831415:1310
5Wilstermann Cooperativas820611:166
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)