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Queen of the South vs Hearts B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Palmerston Park
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
O'Donoghue F.
Assist: Charters T.
33' Event
Hewitt M.
73' Event
North T.

AI Match Summary

Hearts B in this Challenge Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hearts B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Queen of the South
6%
Draws
4%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Queen of the South

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Queen of the South lately — more wins on the board than Hearts B.
  • Win probability leans Queen of the South's way, sitting at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Challenge Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 68%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen of the South Hearts B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Challenge Cup
Queen of the South vs Hearts B
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Donoghue F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hewitt M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hearts B Compare

Top Goalscorer North T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mcluckie B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 95 / 100
Hearts B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen of the South Hearts B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Queen of the South scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Hearts B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Hearts B has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Hearts B
2 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.8
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210