Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Palmerston Park
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Buchanan G.
46'
Sub
Dickenson B. In: Stott J.
Out: Dickenson B.
60'
Buchanan G.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Queen of the South and Stenhousemuir finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Queen of the South
17%
Draws
70%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Queen of the South.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Stenhousemuir.
  • Cup tournament structure in Championship 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 16%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen of the South Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 12 19
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Championship
Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South
3:2
May 5, 2026 Championship
Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Stenhousemuir
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyon R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Buchanan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 15 / 100
Stenhousemuir 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen of the South Stenhousemuir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Stenhousemuir let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Queen of the South went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Stenhousemuir lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queen of the South VS Stenhousemuir
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Airdrieonians1
Alloa3
Stenhousemuir4
Queen of the South3
Final
Alloa2
Stenhousemuir3