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Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Championship The City Stadium, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Hodgkiss L. In: Stevenson G.
Out: Hodgkiss L.
46'
Sub
O'Donnell L. In: O'Reilly E.
Out: O'Donnell L.
46'
Sub
McDonnell T. In: Todorov N.
Out: McDonnell T.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stenhousemuir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Queen's Park
15%
Draws
64%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Stenhousemuir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Stenhousemuir taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Queen's Park Clean Sheet 16%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queen's Park Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 21
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Championship
Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir
0:2
Apr 17, 2021 League Two
Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir
0:0
Apr 10, 2021 League Two
Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park
1:3
Nov 28, 2020 League Two
Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir
3:1
Mar 7, 2020 League Two
Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen's Park Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Reilly E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buchanan G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen's Park 28 / 100
Stenhousemuir 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queen's Park Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen's Park's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Stenhousemuir has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Queen's Park went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queen's Park VS Stenhousemuir
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Queen's Park

(Home)
25 Sept
Arbroath
2 : 1
Queen's Park
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
Page 1 of 6

Stenhousemuir

(Away)
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 12:2 22
2 Raith 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
3 Partick 8 4 3 1 8:2 15
4 Livingston 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
5 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
6 Ayr 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
7 Arbroath 9 3 2 4 6:13 11
8 Inverness 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
9 Queen's Park 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
10 Morton 9 0 1 8 5:17 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)