Sport Picks
Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs
Australia
NPL Queensland Lions Stadium, Brisbane 
Match Events
16'
16'
Fiechtner A.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Queensland game between Queensland Lions and Eastern Suburbs finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queensland Lions.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Queensland Lions come out ahead of Eastern Suburbs on wins alone.
- Queensland Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queensland Lions | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 24 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.44 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Queensland Lions
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs
0:1
Jul 9, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Queensland Lions
4:3
Aug 20, 2023 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Queensland Lions
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Queensland Lions Compare
Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Queensland Lions 85 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Queensland Lions Eastern Suburbs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Queensland Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Queensland Lions scored in 97% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Eastern Suburbs conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Queensland Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Queensland Lions VS Eastern Suburbs
2.25 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Queensland Lions
(Home) 15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0 North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2 Queensland Lions
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12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0 North Sunshine Eagles
11 Aug
Queensland Lions
2 : 0 Melbourne City
07 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 2 Brisbane Roar U23
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Eastern Suburbs
(Away) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4 Magic United TFA FC
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
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14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
23 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC
4 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
16 Jun
Wynnum Wolves
1 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
