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Queensland Lions vs South Hobart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australian Championship Lions Stadium, Brisbane
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queensland Lions host South Hobart in the Australian Championship. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Queensland Lions at 2.52 goals for, 0.97 against; South Hobart at 3.1 for, 1.45 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.69) point toward Queensland Lions. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Queensland Lions
15%
Draws
42%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Queensland Lions have won more games recently than South Hobart.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Queensland Lions taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 13%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions South Hobart
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 19
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.52 3.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions 40 / 100
South Hobart 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions South Hobart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

South Hobart has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Queensland Lions has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: South Hobart registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions VS South Hobart
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions

(Home)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
25 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 0
North Sunshine Eagles
14 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
0 : 2
Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 6

South Hobart

(Away)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sutherland Sharks 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Sydney Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 South Melbourne 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Canberra Croatia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Adelaide City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Broadmeadow Magic FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Avondale FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marconi Stallions 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Sydney Olympic 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Oakleigh Cannons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bayswater 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wollongong 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Preston Lions 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Queensland Lions 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 South Hobart 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)