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Queenstown Rovers vs Caversham

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caversham in this Chatham Cup 2016 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Queenstown Rovers
25%
Draws
35%
Caversham
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Queenstown Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Queenstown Rovers haven't matched Caversham's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Caversham arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caversham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Queenstown Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Caversham Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queenstown Rovers Caversham
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.43
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2016 Chatham Cup
Queenstown Rovers vs Caversham
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queenstown Rovers 30 / 100
Caversham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queenstown Rovers Caversham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caversham has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Caversham registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Queenstown Rovers found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Queenstown Rovers VS Caversham
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Queenstown Rovers

(Home)
15 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
1 : 6
Nelson Suburbs FC
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham

Caversham

(Away)
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Caversham
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Forrest Hill 3
Bay Olympic 0
East Coast 3
Birkenhead 5
Universities of Canterbury 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Waitemata FC 1
Queenstown Rovers 0
Caversham 1
Te Atatu FC 1
Three Kings 2
Palmerston North Marist 2
North Wellington 3
Quarter-finals
Forrest Hill 0
Birkenhead 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Caversham 1
Three Kings 6
North Wellington 1
Semi-finals
Birkenhead 3
Miramar 1
Waitakere City 6
Three Kings 1
Final
Birkenhead 3
Waitakere City 2