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Queimadense vs Cruzeiro-PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2 2025 game between Queimadense and Cruzeiro-PB finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruzeiro-PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Queimadense
30%
Draws
62%
Cruzeiro-PB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruzeiro-PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruzeiro-PB come out ahead of Queimadense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cruzeiro-PB's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Cruzeiro-PB have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Queimadense Clean Sheet 20%
Cruzeiro-PB Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queimadense Cruzeiro-PB
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 Paraibano 2
Queimadense vs Cruzeiro-PB
2:3
Sep 26, 2024 Paraibano 2
Queimadense vs Cruzeiro-PB
2:4
Sep 8, 2024 Paraibano 2
Queimadense vs Cruzeiro-PB
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queimadense 12 / 100
Cruzeiro-PB 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queimadense Cruzeiro-PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro-PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cruzeiro-PB conceded in 88% of 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Queimadense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Queimadense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queimadense VS Cruzeiro-PB
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queimadense

(Home)
21 Sept
Sabugy
3 : 1
Queimadense
18 Sept
Queimadense
2 : 3
Cruzeiro-PB
14 Sept
Atletico Cajazeirense
3 : 0
Queimadense
11 Sept
Queimadense
1 : 1
Confianca PB
08 Sept
Spartax
4 : 2
Queimadense
Page 1 of 6

Cruzeiro-PB

(Away)
12 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
04 Oct
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 2
Confianca PB
28 Sept
Confianca PB
1 : 0
Cruzeiro-PB
21 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 1
Desportiva Guarabira
18 Sept
Queimadense
2 : 3
Cruzeiro-PB
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 23:10 19
2 Cruzeiro-PB 9 5 2 2 15:13 17
3 Confianca PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
4 Miramar EC 9 4 3 2 20:8 15
5 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 3 2 14:11 15
6 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 2 3 15:8 14
7 Serrano PB 9 3 2 4 15:15 11
8 Spartax 9 2 2 5 15:23 8
9 Queimadense 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
10 Sabugy 9 1 0 8 6:31 3
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2025 (Play Offs)