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Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Tue, Apr 21, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Jimenez C.
88' Event
Kilani P.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Queretaro U21 and Cruz Azul U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queretaro U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Queretaro U21
15%
Draws
42%
Cruz Azul U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queretaro U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Cruz Azul U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro U21 Cruz Azul U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 0 2
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Queretaro U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilani P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cruz Azul U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro U21 35 / 100
Cruz Azul U21 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro U21 Cruz Azul U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queretaro U21 scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Cruz Azul U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Cruz Azul U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro U21 VS Cruz Azul U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Toluca U21
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club America U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)