Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga MX U21

Queretaro U21

Tue, Apr 21, 2026

2 - 1

03:00 PM

Cruz Azul U21

Our Tip

Match Events

65'

Jimenez C.

88'

Kilani P.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Queretaro U21 and Cruz Azul U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queretaro U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Queretaro U21

11%

Draws

Cruz Azul U21

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Queretaro U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Cruz Azul U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
Queretaro U21 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Queretaro U21	Cruz Azul U21
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	0	3
Losses	19	14
Goals Scored	1.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Liga MX U21

Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sep 24, 2025 Liga MX U21

Cruz Azul U21 vs Queretaro U21

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilani P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Cruz Azul U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro U21 86 / 100

Cruz Azul U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Queretaro U21 Cruz Azul U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queretaro U21 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Cruz Azul U21 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Queretaro U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro U21 VS Cruz Azul U21

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Club America U21	17	12	5	32:20	32
2	Guadalajara Chivas U21	17	10	7	26:19	32
3	Juarez U21	17	11	6	23:18	32
4	Monterrey U21	17	11	6	27:25	30
5	Pachuca U21	17	9	8	30:18	29
6	Toluca U21	17	9	8	32:22	29
7	Atlas U21	17	10	7	21:23	29
8	UNAM Pumas U21	17	11	6	23:26	28
9	Club Leon U21	17	9	8	18:16	27
10	Necaxa U21	17	10	7	23:25	26
11	Tigres UANL U21	17	8	9	20:18	24
12	Atletico San Luis U21	17	8	9	25:24	24
13	Club Tijuana U21	17	6	11	28:23	22
14	Cruz Azul U21	17	7	10	17:21	22
15	Puebla U21	17	5	12	17:22	20
16	Queretaro U21	17	8	9	20:27	20
17	Santos Laguna U21	17	5	12	16:25	20
18	Mazatlan FC U21	17	4	13	5:31	13