Sport Picks
Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 
Match Events
48'
48'
Diaz C.
62'
62'
Ramirez H.
AI Match Summary
Toluca U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toluca U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Toluca U21 have won more games recently than Queretaro U21.
- Win probability leans Toluca U21's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Toluca U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queretaro U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 20 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Queretaro U21
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Queretaro U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Toluca U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ramirez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Queretaro U21 10 / 100
Toluca U21 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Queretaro U21 Toluca U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Queretaro U21 scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Toluca U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Queretaro U21 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Queretaro U21 VS Toluca U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Queretaro U21
(Home) 26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4 Queretaro U21
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2 Club Leon U21
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1 Queretaro U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0 Queretaro U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2 Toluca U21
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2 Club Leon U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2 Toluca U21
01 Aug
Queretaro U21
4 : 0 Tigres UANL U21
18 Jul
Queretaro U21
0 : 2 Club America U21
21 Apr
Queretaro U21
2 : 1 Cruz Azul U21
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Toluca U21
(Away) 26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Santos Laguna U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Atlas U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Juarez U21
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26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2 Toluca U21
15 Aug
Atlante U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
18 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Puebla U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Club America U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Monterrey U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Necaxa U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Atlante U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Juarez U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 17 | Tigres UANL U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 10 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)
