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Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queretaro U21 host Toluca U21 in the Liga MX U21. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Toluca U21 have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Queretaro U21 have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Queretaro U21 slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.50) back Toluca U21 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Queretaro U21
15%
Draws
45%
Toluca U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Medium Confidence
  • Toluca U21 have won more games recently than Queretaro U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro U21 Toluca U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 0 2
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Queretaro U21
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro U21 30 / 100
Toluca U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro U21 Toluca U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toluca U21 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Queretaro U21 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Queretaro U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro U21 VS Toluca U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro U21

(Home)
01 Aug
Queretaro U21
4 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
26 Jul
Pachuca U21
1 : 0
Queretaro U21
18 Jul
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Club America U21
24 Apr
Puebla U21
2 : 3
Queretaro U21
21 Apr
Queretaro U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

Toluca U21

(Away)
02 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Necaxa U21
21 Jul
Toluca U21
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
18 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
02 May
Juarez U21
3 : 0
Toluca U21
29 Apr
Toluca U21
3 : 0
Juarez U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 3 2 0 1 5:3 7
2 Cruz Azul U21 3 3 0 0 7:4 6
3 Monterrey U21 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
4 Puebla U21 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Toluca U21 2 2 0 0 5:2 5
6 Club Leon U21 2 2 0 0 4:2 5
7 Santos Laguna U21 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
8 Pachuca U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 5
9 Club Tijuana U21 2 1 0 1 2:1 4
10 Queretaro U21 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
11 Atletico San Luis U21 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
12 Juarez U21 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
13 Tigres UANL U21 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
14 UNAM Pumas U21 2 1 0 1 2:2 2
15 Guadalajara Chivas U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 2
16 Atlante U21 3 0 0 3 4:7 2
17 Necaxa U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
18 Atlas U21 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)