Sport Picks

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Queretaro vs Santos Laguna

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio La Corregidora
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Coronel M.
14'
Unjanque J.
23' Event
Di Yorio L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Queretaro and Santos Laguna finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Queretaro
39%
Draws
31%
Santos Laguna
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queretaro come out ahead of Santos Laguna on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 20%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro Santos Laguna
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Santos Laguna
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Queretaro
3:1
Apr 13, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Queretaro
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Santos Laguna
3:2
Mar 2, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Santos Laguna
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santos Laguna Compare

Top Goalscorer Gruezo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro 31 / 100
Santos Laguna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro Santos Laguna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos Laguna let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Queretaro went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Queretaro found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Queretaro VS Santos Laguna
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812