Sport Picks
Queretaro vs Tigres UANL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro 
Match Events
11'
11'
Avila A.
18'
18'
Coronel M.
Assist: Homenchenko S.
27'
27'
Lorona V.
AI Match Summary
Queretaro in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queretaro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Queretaro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tigres UANL lately — more wins on the board than Queretaro.
- Queretaro are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 68%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queretaro | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Tigres UANL
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Queretaro
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Tigres UANL
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Queretaro
1:0
Sep 18, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Tigres UANL
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Queretaro Compare
Top Goalscorer Avila A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Coronel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Tigres UANL Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguirre R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Queretaro 77 / 100
Tigres UANL 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Queretaro Tigres UANL
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Queretaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Queretaro found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Tigres UANL has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Queretaro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Queretaro VS Tigres UANL
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Queretaro
(Home) 26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1 Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1 Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3 Queretaro
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2 Toluca
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1 Club Leon
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2 Toluca
01 Aug
Queretaro
3 : 2 Tigres UANL
19 Jul
Queretaro
0 : 1 Club America
26 Jun
Queretaro
2 : 2 Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 3
Tigres UANL
(Away) 27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0 Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0 Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0 Tigres UANL
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1 Necaxa
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0 Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0 Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0 Tigres UANL
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0 Tigres UANL
16 Aug
Atlas
2 : 1 Tigres UANL
01 Aug
Queretaro
3 : 2 Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Leon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Puebla | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlante | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
