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Queretaro W vs Toluca W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
01:06 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Queretaro W host Toluca W in the Liga MX Women. This has Toluca W written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Queretaro W at 0.75 goals for, 2.43 against; Toluca W at 2.16 for, 1.65 against. Past meetings favor Queretaro W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.13) point toward Toluca W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Queretaro W
15%
Draws
85%
Toluca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Queretaro W haven't matched Toluca W's recent run of results.
  • Toluca W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Queretaro W Clean Sheet 10%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro W Toluca W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 0.75 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Toluca W
1:4
Aug 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Queretaro W
2:0
Jan 21, 2025 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Queretaro W
1:2
Aug 19, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Toluca W
1:0
Apr 11, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Queretaro W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro W 10 / 100
Toluca W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro W Toluca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toluca W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Queretaro W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Toluca W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro W VS Toluca W
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro W

(Home)
25 Oct
Juarez W
2 : 1
Queretaro W
19 Oct
Tigres UANL W
2 : 0
Queretaro W
03 Oct
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
21 Sept
Atlante W
2 : 1
Queretaro W
Page 1 of 6

Toluca W

(Away)
25 Oct
Cruz Azul W
1 : 2
Toluca W
20 Oct
Toluca W
0 : 0
Santos Laguna W
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4
Toluca W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7
Tigres UANL W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 13 11 1 1 48:15 34
2 Tigres UANL W 13 10 2 1 43:12 32
3 Juarez W 12 9 0 3 18:9 27
4 Toluca W 13 8 2 3 29:20 26
5 Club Leon W 12 6 1 5 20:19 19
6 Santos Laguna W 12 5 1 6 14:22 16
7 Cruz Azul W 12 5 0 7 14:24 15
8 Atlante W 12 2 1 9 6:16 7
9 Queretaro W 12 2 0 10 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 12 10 1 1 54:12 31
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 13 10 0 3 32:13 30
3 Atletico San Luis W 12 6 1 5 24:25 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 13 5 2 6 20:24 17
5 Atlas W 13 4 4 5 13:27 16
6 Pachuca W 12 4 1 7 20:17 13
7 Club Tijuana W 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
8 Puebla W 12 1 1 10 15:42 4
9 Necaxa W 12 0 0 12 3:50 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)