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Quilmes vs Agropecuario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quilmes host Agropecuario in the Primera Nacional. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Agropecuario have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Quilmes have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Quilmes slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.94) point toward Quilmes. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Quilmes
20%
Draws
40%
Agropecuario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quilmes come out ahead of Agropecuario on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Quilmes's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 68%
Agropecuario Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes Agropecuario
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Quilmes
0:0
Aug 20, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Agropecuario
1:0
Mar 29, 2024 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Quilmes
1:1
Mar 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Agropecuario
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Quilmes
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 51 / 100
Agropecuario 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes Agropecuario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agropecuario has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Quilmes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Quilmes scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes VS Agropecuario
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes

(Home)
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

Agropecuario

(Away)
04 Oct
Agropecuario
0 : 0
Midland
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Agropecuario
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)