Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Vera U.
34'
Melendez M.
44'
Velazquez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Quilmes
39%
Draws
31%
Chacarita Juniors
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Chacarita Juniors haven't matched Quilmes's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 68%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes Chacarita Juniors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
0:4
Feb 26, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors
1:0
Sep 23, 2023 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
2:2
May 13, 2023 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 41 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes Chacarita Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chacarita Juniors has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Quilmes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Quilmes scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes VS Chacarita Juniors
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes

(Home)
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0
Quilmes
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1
Quilmes
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
07 Jun
San Martin T.
0 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

Chacarita Juniors

(Away)
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
05 Jul
San Martin S.J.
0 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
13 Jun
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
07 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Temperley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro20124423:1440
2Colon Santa Fe2098327:1535
3Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
6CA Estudiantes2086618:1630
7Almirante Brown2086615:1330
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2066820:2424
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys2049713:2021
14San Telmo2048816:2120
15Acassuso20541115:2319
16Central Norte2047912:2119
17CA Mitre2039819:2718
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2078519:1529
7Deportivo Maipu2084827:2128
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago1967617:1725
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2047914:2419
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)