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Quilmes vs San Martin T. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes
Quilmes Logo

Quilmes

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
San Martin T. Logo

San Martin T.

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Quilmes host San Martin T. in the Primera Nacional. Little to choose between these two on current form. Quilmes have averaged 0.93 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against San Martin T.'s 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Quilmes have won 0 to San Martin T.'s 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.25, favoring San Martin T.. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Quilmes
20%
Draws
51%
San Martin T.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Martin T.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Martin T. come out ahead of Quilmes on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes San Martin T.
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Quilmes
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Quilmes
1:1
May 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs San Martin T.
1:2
Jul 22, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs San Martin T.
1:2
Mar 5, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Quilmes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 42 / 100
San Martin T. 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes San Martin T.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Martin T. conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Quilmes scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Quilmes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes VS San Martin T.
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes

(Home)
17 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0
Quilmes
10 Oct
Quilmes
0 : 1
Agropecuario
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

San Martin T.

(Away)
18 Oct
San Martin T.
3 : 2
Midland
11 Oct
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
San Martin T.
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 33 8 13 12 25:32 37
14 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
15 San Telmo 33 9 10 14 28:37 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)