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Quindio vs Cartagena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario, Armenia
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quindio host Cartagena in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Quindio have averaged 0.97 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against Cartagena's 1.64 scored and 1.33 conceded. Past meetings favor Cartagena slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.25) back Quindio to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Quindio
35%
Draws
19%
Cartagena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Quindio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Cartagena average 1.64 goals a game right now, well clear of Quindio's 0.97.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Quindio Clean Sheet 19%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Cartagena
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Quindio
2:1
Oct 27, 2025 Primera B
Quindio vs Cartagena
0:0
May 18, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Quindio
4:1
Nov 13, 2024 Primera B
Quindio vs Cartagena
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Primera B
Cartagena vs Quindio
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 31 / 100
Cartagena 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Cartagena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quindio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Quindio's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Quindio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quindio VS Cartagena
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Quindio

(Home)
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Quindio
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0
Bogota
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
Page 1 of 6

Cartagena

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
2 Independiente Valle del Cauca 11 7 2 2 15:6 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 11 6 3 2 13:4 21
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
7 Cartagena 11 4 3 4 19:14 15
8 Atletico F.C. 11 4 2 5 13:17 14
9 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
10 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
11 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
12 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
13 Real Santander 11 2 6 3 13:18 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)