Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quindio vs Ind. Yumbo

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Primera B encounter between Quindio and Ind. Yumbo promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Quindio averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Ind. Yumbo shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Quindio, 0 wins for Ind. Yumbo, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 10.02.26 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.50 for Quindio and 0.69 for Ind. Yumbo, suggesting the primary value lies in the Quindio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Quindio
33%
Draws
23%
Ind. Yumbo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Quindio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Quindio picked up more points recently compared to Ind. Yumbo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Quindio Clean Sheet 28%
Ind. Yumbo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Ind. Yumbo
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 17 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.4 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

10.02.26 Primera B
Quindio vs Ind. Yumbo
0:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Quindio

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Ind. Yumbo

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 45 / 100
Ind. Yumbo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Ind. Yumbo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Quindio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Quindio is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Quindio 48%
Ind. Yumbo 18%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Ind. Yumbo will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Quindio's attacks.

Quindio 42%
Ind. Yumbo 24%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Quindio to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Quindio 44%
Ind. Yumbo 23%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Quindio vary their attacking width.

Quindio 46%
Ind. Yumbo 22%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Ind. Yumbo, allowing Quindio's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Quindio 40%
Ind. Yumbo 25%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Quindio, while Ind. Yumbo takes risks to salvage a result.

Quindio 51%
Ind. Yumbo 26%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Quindio attacking → ← attacking Ind. Yumbo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quindio have found the net in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Ind. Yumbo have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 19 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 0.00 goals per match.

Quindio remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Ind. Yumbo suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 20
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237