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Quintana vs Castuera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quintana host Castuera in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Quintana at 0.5 goals for, 1.25 against; Castuera at 1.43 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Quintana slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.17) point toward Quintana. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Quintana
15%
Draws
55%
Castuera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castuera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castuera come out ahead of Quintana on wins alone.
  • Castuera are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Quintana Clean Sheet 20%
Castuera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quintana Castuera
Matches Played 4 28
Wins 1 7
Draws 1 4
Losses 2 17
Goals Scored 0.5 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Quintana vs Castuera
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quintana 16 / 100
Castuera 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quintana Castuera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castuera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castuera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Quintana scored in 25% of their last 4 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Quintana went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Quintana VS Castuera
0.33 Goals Scored 1.5
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.75
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Quintana

(Home)
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2
Quintana
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0
Quintana
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra

Castuera

(Away)
27 Sept
Castuera
1 : 0
UP Plasencia
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
Castuera
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
31 Aug
Villanovense
3 : 0
Castuera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
11 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
15 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)