Sport Picks
Quintanar del Rey vs Tomelloso
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 
Match Events
11'
11'
Bayiha A. P. Y.
51'
51'
Winstanley J.
60'
60'
Pumareta A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between Quintanar del Rey and Tomelloso finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quintanar del Rey.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomelloso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Tomelloso haven't matched Quintanar del Rey's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Quintanar del Rey taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 15%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Quintanar del Rey | Tomelloso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Tomelloso
4:1
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Quintanar del Rey
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Tomelloso
1:2
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Quintanar del Rey
2:4
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Quintanar del Rey vs Tomelloso
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Quintanar del Rey Compare
Top Goalscorer Winstanley J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bayiha A. P. Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Tomelloso Compare
Top Goalscorer Pumareta A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Quintanar del Rey 41 / 100
Tomelloso 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Quintanar del Rey Tomelloso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tomelloso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Quintanar del Rey scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Tomelloso lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Quintanar del Rey VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Quintanar del Rey
(Home) 04 Oct
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 2 CD Villa
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2 Illescas
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4 Toledo
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 2 CD Villa
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2 Illescas
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4 Toledo
26 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 0 RSD Alcala
05 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
1 : 0 CF Fuenlabrada
Page 1 of 4
Tomelloso
(Away) 12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3 Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0 Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1 Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0 Tomelloso
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1 Tomelloso
13 Apr
Conquense
1 : 0 Tomelloso
31 Mar
Cazalegas
1 : 1 Tomelloso
28 Mar
Villarrobledo
2 : 1 Tomelloso
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conquense | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 57:18 | 73 |
| 2 | Cazalegas | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 48:35 | 59 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 47:25 | 58 |
| 4 | Socuellamos | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 48:28 | 58 |
| 5 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 46:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:33 | 56 |
| 7 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:31 | 55 |
| 8 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 38:31 | 47 |
| 9 | Albacete B | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:49 | 46 |
| 10 | Azuqueca | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 40:46 | 41 |
| 11 | Villacanas | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:36 | 41 |
| 12 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 28:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 27:38 | 39 |
| 14 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 35:47 | 39 |
| 15 | La Solana | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:39 | 39 |
| 16 | Torrijos | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:45 | 28 |
| 17 | Tomelloso | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24:55 | 26 |
| 18 | San Clemente | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 28:66 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
