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Quixada U20 vs Fortaleza U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Joao Costa
38' Event
Lucas Emanoel
57' Event
Mauro

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza U20 in this Cearense U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Quixada U20
15%
Draws
46%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortaleza U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza U20 have won more games recently than Quixada U20.
  • Model gives Fortaleza U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Fortaleza U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fortaleza U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Quixada U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quixada U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 25 38
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Quixada U20
3:1
Aug 12, 2026 Cearense U20
Quixada U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Quixada U20
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Cearense U20
Quixada U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quixada U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Costa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Emanoel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quixada U20 20 / 100
Fortaleza U20 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quixada U20 Fortaleza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Quixada U20 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Fortaleza U20 let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

Solid form: Quixada U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Quixada U20 VS Fortaleza U20
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quixada U20

(Home)
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
01 Aug
Floresta EC U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
26 Jul
Quixada U20
0 : 1
Floresta EC U20
18 Jul
Ceara U20
3 : 0
Quixada U20
Page 1 of 5

Fortaleza U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U20 3
Caucaia U20 2
Floresta EC U20 4
Ferroviario U20 5
Fortaleza U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 1
Quixada U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Semi-finals
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 3
Fortaleza U20 7
Quixada U20 1
Final
Ferroviario U20 1
Fortaleza U20 6