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Quixada vs Crato

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Martins P.
74' Event
Caninde

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Quixada advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Quixada
15%
Draws
59%
Crato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Quixada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Crato a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Quixada have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Quixada, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Quixada Clean Sheet 19%
Crato Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quixada Crato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Cearense 2
Quixada vs Crato
2:0
Mar 31, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Quixada
3:1
Mar 16, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Quixada
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Cearense 2
Quixada vs Crato
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Cearense 3
Quixada vs Crato
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quixada Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caninde
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Crato Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quixada 28 / 100
Crato 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quixada Crato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quixada's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crato let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Quixada has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quixada VS Crato
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Quixada

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
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Crato

(Away)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Itapipoca -
TBD -
Maranguape 1
Guarani de Juazeiro 0
Quixada -
TBD -
Crato 1
Caucaia 0
Semi-finals
Itapipoca 2
Maranguape 4
Quixada 3
Crato 3
Final
Maranguape 2
Quixada 1