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R. Volgograd 2 vs Penza

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Rodionov A.
56'
Rodionov A.
76' Event
Shamsudinov E.

AI Match Summary

Penza in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
R. Volgograd 2
15%
Draws
65%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Penza have won more games recently than R. Volgograd 2.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Penza have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
R. Volgograd 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Penza Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric R. Volgograd 2 Penza
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.57 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
R. Volgograd 2 vs Penza
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs R. Volgograd 2
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
R. Volgograd 2 vs Penza
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs R. Volgograd 2
1:1
Oct 28, 2017 FNL 2 - Group 3
Penza vs R. Volgograd 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

R. Volgograd 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Shamsudinov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 2 32 / 100
Penza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
R. Volgograd 2 Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penza has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: R. Volgograd 2 scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

R. Volgograd 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

R. Volgograd 2 VS Penza
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

R. Volgograd 2

(Home)
17 Sept
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
11 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
05 Sept
R. Volgograd 2
1 : 3
Saturn Ramenskoye
29 Aug
R. Volgograd 2
2 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
22 Aug
Salyut-Belgorod
1 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
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Penza

(Away)
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
05 Sept
Penza
2 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
22 Aug
Penza
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
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